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Post by kosovohp on Sun Nov 07, 2010 1:13 am

On October 31, Hurricane Tomas passed very near Saint Lucia as an intensifying cyclone, producing 92 mph (148 km/h) winds on the island.[11] By later in the day, it became increasingly better organized, and reports from the Hurricane Hunters indicated that the winds increased to 100 mph (160 km/h), a Category 2 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Concurrently, the storm was being impacted by southwesterly wind shear, which computer models forecast to increase. Despite the shear, Tomas was forecast to strengthen into a major hurricane.[12] However, Tomas weakened as the convection waned near the center, due to the shear and dry air,[13] and by early on November 1 diminished to tropical storm status.[14] Later that day, the storm was described as a "highly sheared tropical cyclone", because the circulation became dislocated from the convection by more than 100 miles (160 km). As a result, the winds were estimated to have decreased to 45 mph (75 km/h), although an area of thunderstorms reformed northeast of the center.[15] Over the subsequent day the structure became better organized, with more deep convection over the center due to lighter shear and a moister environment. By that time, it was passing just north of the ABC Islands.[16] However, the structure again deteriorated, and Tomas weakened to tropical depression status on November 3 about 325 miles (520 km) southeast of Kingston, Jamaica.[17]

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